Change is Imminent Burke-Macgregor Group LLC Key Point: Bill Gates, the founder of Microsoft, noted that when waves of change appear, “You can duck under the wave, stand fast against the wave or, better yet, surf the wave.” • Capstone Concept for Joint Operations Wargame, Andrews AFB 7 May 2012 Executive Summary (EXSUM): “Situations generally required combinations of capabilities from across the joint force organized into mission packages under functional command structures rather than according to strict regional boundaries. A proposed template for joint mission packages included the following essential building blocks: Mission Command, ISR, Sustainment, Maneuver and Strike, each requiring differing capabilities from the various services.” • As industry strives for market advantage, the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex framework can guide investment planning over the next decade to capture market share. What do the trend lines mean for 21st Century Defense Establishments? Old WW II/Cold War Industrial Age Paradigm Army Burke-Macgregor Group LLC Post-Industrial Information Age Paradigm Navy Marine ISR – STRIKE 60% MNVR 15% SUST 25% Air Force Strategic Assumptions New Operational Concept New Force Missions New Force Design & Capabilities New Force Development / Management / Employment Paradigm Critical Tasks for the U.S. Defense Establishment and its new leadership: • • • Align defense investments with evolutionary trends in technology, organization and command structures; Align defense commitments and missions with a changed strategic environment; and Optimize today’s forces within the trend lines to guide strategic investment over time. Paradigm Shift Signals Greater Operational ROI Old WW II/Cold War Industrial Age Paradigm Relative sizes indicate Return on Investment Operational Impact $1 Investment yields $0.78 Result Burke-Macgregor Group LLC Post-Industrial Information Age Paradigm Operational Impact $0.82 Investment yields $1.19 Result Old paradigm inefficiencies and duplications reduce operational impact and perpetuate unsustainable “cost exchange ratios” with our adversaries Optimizing “capability at cost” in new paradigm dramatically increases operational impact of each dollar spent – maintaining /increasing security at reduced spending levels. ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex Burke-Macgregor Group LLC The Central Idea: Cross-domain synergy. The complementary vice merely additive employment of capabilities in different domains such that each enhances the effectiveness and compensates for the vulnerabilities of the others… JOINT OPERATIONAL ACCESS CONCEPT (JOAC) VERSION 1.0 17 January 2012 • • • Build an ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex inside the regional unified commands to integrate U.S. Defense capabilities at the operational level to detect, deter, disrupt, neutralize or destroy opposing forces decisively. Employ the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment Complex as a baseline to optimize U.S. Armed Forces to: (1) More effectively and efficiently execute expeditionary operations; and, (2) Shape future force development. Apply the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment framework as a methodology for incorporation into U.S. Defense investment planning and programming cycle to enable informed choices as constrained budgets compel force optimization. A New Business Model for the Paradigm Shift Burke-Macgregor Group LLC • Critical Path: Pilot the ISR-Strike-Maneuver-Sustainment operational framework: o Team with customer to share in the discovery of new capabilities that maximize operational capability at cost. • The critical path points to these outcomes: o Full spectrum DOTMLPF,P rapid prototyping to demonstrate prioritization of good enough over “unobtanium”; o Customer arbitrates trades among requirements, technology, cost and risk; o Get into production sooner - where manufacturing optimizations and vendor management allow greater margins; and o Efficiently field (time and cost) new capabilities that reduce total ownership and manpower, freeing up resources for further recapitalization.