1.1 SIMSTAT

Report
Preparation for exchange of micro-data on
intra-EU trade between Member States
SIMSTAT-Pilot ESSnet
16.9.2014
Olli-Pekka Penttilä
Director of Statistics / Co-ordinator
Finnish Customs
Nordic meeting 2014
Outline of SIMSTAT:
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Short background
Task of the ESSnet1 (Pilot)
Work plan
Organisation of the work
Next steps
Discussion
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Background and history (1)
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Intrastat began operating 1 Jan 1993
most burdensome area of business statistics
in addition, perceived burden (by PSI’s) is an issue
many initiatives to deliver reform
achievements not sufficient
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Background and history (2)
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lack of consensual solution
conflicting priorities of Member States
need to unblock the situation
new element, what can it be?
the analogy to administrative data
double collection of data is an opportunity
EU legislation cannot force MS to reduce burden
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The proposal from 2012 – SIMSTAT
1. Reduce data collection requirements on the intra-EU
imports (arrivals) side.
2. Enable Member States to design the data collection
for the intra-EU imports according to their needs.
3. Create an additional data source by making the
exchange of micro data for intra-EU exports
(dispatches) mandatory.
4. Member States can chose whether to use the
exchanged data. A country specific, gradual
implementation of the SIMSTAT system would be
possible.
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The Benefits
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Potential for reduction in burden
Quality maintained through additional data source
Remove duplicate data collection
Developing generic solutions for microdata exchange
which can be used to support the wider ESS Vision
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The Costs
• Low cost solutions were made in the past
• The sharing of data is a new element, which will have
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set-up costs (funding from Eurostat: ESSnet, Grants)
maintenance costs
additional costs for Member States
additional burden on Intra-EU exporters
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The Risks
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Will Member States realise this potential reduction?
Will Member States use this new data set?
will SIMSTAT deliver a burden reduction?
will the burden reduction be sufficient?
will the figures still be good enough quality and in time
for National Accounts
• will there be consensus of the Council and of the
European Parliament (for example on FRIBS)?
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Background clear, but what to do?
• Test the technical feasibility (ESSnet1+2)
• Pursue methodological considerations (ESSnet1+2, WG
Methodology)
• Measure burden reduction potential (WG Methodology &
Quality, SIMSTAT PTF and SG, BSDG)
• Evaluate the impact on quality (ESSnet1+2, WG Methodology &
Quality, SIMSTAT PTF, SG of ITGS, BSDG)
• Draft legal text (WG Methodology, SG of ITGS, BSDG)
• Seek consensus (SIMSTAT PTF, SG of ITGS, BSDG, ESSC)
-> Target timetable: trials analysis ready on Q4/2015? Final decisions during 2016?
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SIMSTAT-Pilot ESSnet1 timeline: 12 months, 27.9.2013
– 26.9.2014
Main tasks of the ESSnet1
1. Resolving the open technical issues for the
practical micro-data exchange pilot
2. Elaboration of validation rules, data-exchange
workflows, timetable et.c to be applied in the
future ”production test”-environment
3. Planning of data compilation arrangements to be
applied in the future ”production test”
environment
4. Quality evaluation of the test results
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Work plan:
1. WP1: Producing the technical documentation and
instructions on technical issues (Krassimir Ivanov)
2. WP2: Setting up the confidentiality arrangements
(Timo Koskimäki)
3. WP3: Establishing rules for validation and credibility
checks, error correction and revision of data (Maria
Serena Causo
4. WP4: Designing the production timetable for the trial
tests (Rafael Mastrangelo)
5. WP5: Elaborating and implementing the data
compilation guidelines (Olli-Pekka Penttilä)
6. WP6: Elaborating and implementing the quality
evaluation of the test results (Søren Rich)
All work will be based on work already done in PTF and Quality/Methods groups
Solutions developed and adopted for testing, no “final” decisions to be made
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Organisation of the work of ESSnet1
– Participating MSs:
• Austria, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia,
Germany, Greece, Italy, Luxemburg, Malta, Poland,
Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Finland (Co-ordinator),
United Kingdom, France
– One leading country for each work package
– Most of the work to be done in-between the
meetings
– EUROSTAT expected to participate actively
although it can not be reflected in the work plan
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ESSnet1
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4 meetings:
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Kick-off meeting on 7th November in Luxembourg
2nd meeting on 22. – 23. January 2014 in Lisbon
3rd meeting on 7. – 8. May 2014 in Sofia
Final 4th meeting on 10. – 11. September 2014 in
Helsinki
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WP1 tasks: Producing the technical documentation
and instructions on technical issues for the
exchange of micro-data during the ESSnet and
future production-test environment
1.1. Elaboration of operational rules to be followed for those
variables which are currently not collected by the countries
participating in the trial test. This shall also include the operational
rules for the simulation of the partner ID along the principle that was
agreed in the PTF. (Draft February, Final 3th meeting)
1.2. Definition and description of the dataset structure and detailed
data exchange rules: “Doc Met 400 SIMSTAT” (data elements on
2nd meeting, Draft document accepted by PTF February, Final on
ESSnet 3rd meeting)
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Follow up the WP1 by Co-ordinator:
• DocMet400SIMSTAT: micro data file specifications
(mandatory, monthly). New mandatory data elements:
– “ID of partner trader”, “Country of origin in dispatches”
• Other data file: other data file specifications
(voluntary, monthly) will include?
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missing value estimates, below threshold trade estimates
the most important missing PSIs and estimate for that
confidential CN8’s monthly
data related to specific goods and movements
Intra-EU trade data coming from customs declaration
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WP2 tasks: Setting up the confidentiality
arrangements for the trial micro-data exchange
2.1. proposal for the contractual arrangements for the ESSnet data
exchange and for the future production tests using the data
transmission network (final on 2nd meeting)
2.2. preparation of a draft contract template to be used in the
context of the ESSnet and for the future production tests using the
data transmission network (semi-final on 2nd meeting, final on April
2014)
2.3. proposal for the practical organization of the micro-data
exchange in the context of the ESSnet and signatures of the data
exchange contracts (on 3rd meeting)
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Follow up the WP2 by Co-ordinator:
• Agreements signed (in force until end of 2017)
between ESSnet1 participating MSs:
– Multilateral agreement (all MSs exept France)
– Bilateral agreement with France
– CIRCABC folder for signed agreements (also for Trials,
managed by Olli-Pekka Penttilä)
• Micro data exchanged between the 14 MSs on MayJune 2014
• Plan how new MSs will sign the agreements
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WP3 tasks: Establishing rules for micro data
validation and credibility checks, error correction
and revision of data
3.1. Proposal for the rules to applied in the future production tests as part of
data transmission network (draft on 2nd meeting, final on 3rd meeting)
3.2. Proposal for the rules to be applied in the MS’s IT systems/data
validation processes prior to the transmission of the data and after receiving
the data (draft on 2nd meeting, final on 3rd meeting)
3.3. Proposal for a workflow on how to sending and receiving MS deal with
errors that the receiving MS detects in the delivered data (draft on 3rd
meeting, final on June PTF)
3.4. Testing of the feasibility of the proposed rules using the exchanged
data as to reach a balance between error detection (data quality) and data
validation/error correction burden for the MS’s (on 4th meeting)
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Follow up the WP3 by Co-ordinator:
• Rules for micro data validation and credibility checks
and error correction done.
• Testing of the new rules will be done during trial tests.
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WP4 tasks: Designing the production timetable for the trial tests
adjusted to the production timetables of the MS’s and the current
legal framework. The timetable should accommodate the impact
of late responses and data corrections
4.1 Draft proposal for the production timetable with regard to the future
“production test” context where data transmission network will be used.
(final on 2nd meeting)
4.2.Proposal for the timing and practices of data extractions and data
exchange in ESSnet context in order to simulate the future “production
test” timetable (draft on February 2014, final on 3rd meeting)
4.3. Final proposal for the production timetable with regard to the future
“production test” -context where data transmission network will be used
including the impact of late response and data corrections (final on 4th
meeting)
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Follow up the WP4 by Co-ordinator:
• 4 delivery dates during the month will be used to
transfer micro data between the sending MS to the
HUB for onward transfer to the receiving MS. The
deadline for all MSs is t+30.
• The delivery of all monthly 2013(?) and 2014 data by
the Member States to the HUB should be transferred
either before the start of the trial or the data could be
staggered during the trial test.
• The trial test expects participating Member States to
transfer 2014 and 2015 Intrastat data according to the
agreed timetable and file specification (DocMet400
SIMSTAT).
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WP5 tasks: Elaborating and implementing the data
compilation guidelines
5.1. Overview to national compilation practices (final on 2nd meeting)
5.2 Proposal for the common practices to be applied for the data
compilation during the ESSnet. (final on 3rd meeting)
5.2 Proposal for the common practices to be applied for the data
compilation in the future “production testing” environment. (final on
4th meeting)
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Follow up the WP5 by Co-ordinator:
• National test databases done for sending and
receiving of micro data files
• Merging received other MSs Intra-EU exports and
national Intra-EU imports data
• Invoice value will be analyzed
• Simulation of “ID of partner trader” if not collected
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WP6 tasks: Elaborating and implementing the
quality evaluation of the test results
6.1 Proposal for an analysis plan to evaluate the quality of the
statistics to be produced during the ESSnet work. The plan should
include both the production of short-term estimates and the
production of detailed data. (draft on February-March 2014, final on
3rd meeting)
6.2 Compilation and quality evaluation of statistics using the data
exchanged during the ESSnet. Each participating MS should
compile and analyze the data concerning their own economy
obtained from other Member States. (reports August 2014, final
on 4th meeting)
6.3 Summary report on the results of the data analyses performed
by all participating MS’s. (final on 4th meeting)
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Follow up the WP6 by Co-ordinator:
• Analysis plan has over 10 Excel spreadsheets. Only
10 MSs had time to do analysis during the summer,
first time is the most burdensome.
• Summary report, first remark:
– micro data from France and Italy with collected “ID
of partner trader” has good quality.
– other MSs has to simulate “ID of partner trader”,
only CZ and GB successfully.
• Analysis plan for trial tests: process and product
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Next steps, the outline:
• The SIMSTAT project will prepare a report
demonstrating the outcomes of the trial tests in 2015.
• The report will be presented to the ESSC in May 2016
for taking a decision on the eventual implementation
of SIMSTAT.
• FRIBS will provide the legal basis for SIMSTAT if the
ESSC decides to introduce a mandatory micro-data
exchange in the area of intra-EU trade statistics.
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Next steps, detailed (1):
• Connect to CCN network (ready 10/2014)
• Grants 2014: IT, methodological issues (final 3/2015)
• ESSnet2 Co-ordinated by France (proposal 13.6.2014):
– Work package 1: Testing of functioning and the
interoperability of the IT infrastructure and tools (final 3/2015)
– Work package 2: Pilot micro-data exchange (4-9/2015)
– Work package 3: assess the respect of validation and
compilation rules for exchanged data and provide an
improvement strategy (final 11/2015)
– Work package 4: Analysis and documenting of trial results
(final 12/2015)
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Next steps, detailed (2):
• SIMSTAT Trial test April - September 2015
• FRIBS legislative drafting should be ready H1/2015
(final June 2015?)
• SIMSTAT ESSnet2 analysis of trial results 10-12/2015
(final December 2015)
• FRIBS legislative process 2016, FRIBS in force 2017
(or 2018?)
• EU-Grants 2016 or/and 2017: IT, methodological issues ???
• 7 MS missing Trials? Connecting to CCN and testing 2016?
• Information to PSI’s (new data elements to be collected etc) on
H2/2016?
• Total EU-testing (28 MSs) during 2017?
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•Discussion
Thank you!
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