Workshop take home points

Report
Beyond California Water Plan
Update 2005
California Water and Environmental
Modeling Forum
Annual Meeting, March 3rd, 2005
1
Objectives for Presentation
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Highlight goals for tools and data
Show accomplishments
Describe possible screening approach
Demo of EXTEND software
Next steps
2
Goals for Analytical
Tools and Data
3
Goals
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Describe expectations for evaluation.
Inventory and document data and tools
consistently.
Apply existing data and tools for Update
2010.
Develop a long term plan for improvement.
Coordinate with CALFED Program.
4
Desired End-Product
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Evaluate multiple future conditions
(Scenarios and Responses)
Explore wide range of benefits and costs
(Evaluation Criteria)
Support integrated regional planning
Support statewide planning
5
Accomplishments
6
Recent Progress
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Collaborated with David Groves to quantify
3 scenarios of 2030 water demand
Developed conceptual framework
Held workshop with Modeling Work Group
Submitted coordinated funding proposals to
CBDA Science Program
Documenting existing tools
Participating in CALSIM model
improvements
7
Developed Conceptual
Framework
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Can be applied at different spatial scales
Describes complex system using simple
categories
Illustrates inputs, outputs, and relationships
Draft HTML version available on CD
8
Conceptual Framework for Assessing
Water Resources and Management
Demand
Drivers
Human and
Environmental
Water Demands
Geophysical
Parameters
Water
Management
System
Water
Management
Objectives
Management
Strategies
Evaluation Criteria
(Economic, Management, Societal)
Overview
Organization
Definitions
9
Developed Tool Descriptions
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Scope and Application
Conceptual basis
Theoretical basis
Numerical basis
Data
Data management
Software
10
Completed Tool Descriptions
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CALSIM
CALAG
LCPSIM
IGSM2
SIMETAW
CUP
ETAW-CAWU
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DSM2
CALVIN
IMPLAN
UPLAN
LAWS
CU
http://www.waterplan.water.ca.gov/b160/workgroups/modelinggroup.htm
11
Possible Screening
Approach
12
Conceptual Framework for Assessing
Water Resources and Management
Demand
Drivers
Human and
Environmental
Water Demands
Geophysical
Parameters
Water
Management
System
Water
Management
Objectives
Management
Strategies
Evaluation Criteria
(Economic, Management, Societal)
Overview
Organization
Definitions
13
Need to Represent the
Water Management
System at Different
Spatial Scales
From Statewide …
14
…To Hydrologic
Region or Planning
Area
15
Using the Flow Diagram …
16
… to Define Data &
Relationships
O
P
Q
R
S
T
U
V
W
X
Y
Z
AA
AB
3
4
5
EVAPORATION AND EVAPOTRANSPIRATION OF APPLIED
WATER, PRECIPITATION AND CONVEYANCE LOSSES:
Insufficient Data
6
751
CONVEYANCE LOSS TO
E & ET:
9 URBAN:
0.4
0.8
10 AG:
WETLANDS: 0.0
11
8
17
CONVEYANCE LOSS TO
RETURN FLOWS:
URBAN:
0
AG:
0.0453
WETLANDS: 0
12
13
14
15
CONVEYANCE LOSSES:
URBAN:
0.4
AG:
1.1
WETLANDS: 0.0
16
17
18
18
CONVEYANCE LOSS TO
SEEPAGE:
URBAN:
0.0
AG:
0.3
WETLANDS: 0.0
MEXICO:
0.0
47
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION
OF APPLIED WATER:
AG:
21.8
WETLANDS: 0.6
URBAN:
2.6
49
INCIDENTAL E & ET
AG RETURN FLOWS:
0.3
19
20
21
WATER DEPOSITS:
22
SURFACE WATER: 27.6
GROUNDWATER:
17.0
23
RECYL
&
DESAL:
0.0
24
TRANSFERS:
Not
25
Applicable
26
Return Flow within
5.1
WATER USE (APPLIED):
AGRICULTURAL:
31.5
WETLANDS:
1.3
URBAN:
8.4
39to 43
TOTAL
41.1
22
Service Area
37
38
AG & WETLANDS
RETURN FLOWS:
13.1
27
28
24
17
Using the Best Available
Analytical Tools and Data to
Quantify Flow Diagram
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Published data and surveys
Estimates derived from simple
relationships
Estimates derived from models
18
Using an Analytical Environment
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Developing pilot of flow diagram using
EXTEND software package
Features
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Transparent and relatively easy for others to
review and use
Can use in “real-time” interactions with
stakeholders
Customize to include relationships from best
current knowledge
Explore different possible outcomes
19
Demo of EXTEND
Software
20
Next Steps – Update 2010
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Prioritize key components of flow diagram
Define / refine key theoretical relationships
Quantify detailed scenario factors
Develop evaluation criteria details
Develop response package details
Develop work plan for detailed approach
21
Next Steps - Beyond Update 2010
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Implement long-term plan to improve
analytical tools (detailed approach)
Fill data gaps
Develop Water Plan Information Exchange
(Water PIE)
22
Summary
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We are working to accomplish specific
goals for tools and data
Good progress has been made
Much more to be done
Need to meet soon and often with Water
Plan Advisory Committee
23
24

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