Document

Report
Joint Presentation:
A. Ab Maas, the Netherlands: Conceptual Models
as Training tools
B. Cynthia Matsudo, Argentina: Conceptual
Models for RAIII - a resource for trainers and
forecasters
C. Vesa Nietosvaara, EUMETSAT: Experiences in
Managing Virtual Teams.
Conceptual Models as Training tools
Worldwide Online development of training material
Project Conceptual Models for Southern Hemisphere
CM4SH
In cooperation with:
Conceptual Model
Conceptual Models in Satellite Meteorology
Project from 1995 – 2005
Collaboration of several European Met. Institutes with support of Eumetsat
End Result: MANUAL OF SYNOPTIC SATELLITE METEOROLOGY
(SatManu)
50 conceptual models described
The Manual is designed to be used by:
1. University students with a basic knowledge of synoptic meteorology and
satellite meteorology
2. Meteorologists and forecasters
The manual is maintained and modernized within Eumetrain
Not only Europe
Satmanu has proved its value as a training- and a forecasting tool
throughout Europe and outside.
The idea of using conceptual models in satellite meteorology is of course not only
a European thought there is an interest all over the world.
The idea to widen the CM thinking to other parts of the globe and to develop
Conceptual Models more appropriate for other regions was made more concrete
during courses is South Africa in 2010 Eumetsat course in Pretoria
and the CalMet conference also in Pretoria.
More WMO Vlabs were interested.
After initiatives from Eumetsat (Volker Gaertner) and the “hard core” of
Satmanu developers ( Veronika Zwatz-Meise, etc.)
The project started in January this year and will end in March 2014 with a possibility
of extension.
The purpose and objectives of the project
The purpose of the project is to improve warnings and awareness
of weather risks through the use of conceptual models.
.
The Objectives of the project are to produce and make available resources about
Conceptual Models for the CoE areas of interest.
To make these resources also available for other training institutions within region.
To increase the operational forecasters’ understanding of the weather systems
with the help of Conceptual Models.
The outcomes, deliverables and the
benefits expected
Outcome and deliverables
A comprehensive list of CMs in the areas of interest of all participating
VLabs/CoEs with already existing literature
A quick-look collection of interesting CM cases from archive and actual
cases with quick-look descriptions
Some fully developed representative examples (which and how many
TBD) preferable in a SH-SatManu version
Cross connection among material (different styles already existing)
Expected Benefits
Optimal training material for VLabs/CoEs and other training institutions
Basis for integration in application methods in weather services
(Nowcasting and warnings)
Spread
Participating countries: Australia (BOM)
Argentina
Brazil
South Africa
European Expert Team: Veronika Zwatz-Meise
Henk Verschuur
Ab Maas
Vesa Nietosvaara
Reviewers:
Bernadette Connell, CIRA, CO, USA
Michael Davison, NOAA, USA
Structure
Coordinating the project: Vesa
Coordinator of the expert team: Veronika
Tasks of the expert team:
Organizing the project work
Training sessions
Guarding the uniformity of the deliverables
Online meetings exclusively
Literature Survey
Choice of case studies or Conceptual Models
Online Training sessions:
Fronts
Over to Cynthia
Cyclogenesis
Jets and Frontal structures
Convective systems
Local phenomena
Finding good cases and developing CS or CM’s
Conceptual Models for RAIII
a resource for trainers and forecasters
CM4SH - Conceptual Models for Southern
Hemisphere Project
Argentina VLab Centre of Excellence
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
Inspired by the European Manual
MANUAL OF SYNOPTIC SATELLITE METEOROLOGY
(SatManu)
developed by Veronika Zwatz-Meise, Henk Verschuur,
Ab Maas,Vesa Nietosvaara
CM4SH Project
CoE Argentina in cooperation with WMO and Eumetsat
Our team: NMS Argentina
In cooperation with:
DCAO-UBA Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences- University of
Buenos Aires
CONAE – National Commission for Spatial Activities
NOAA-NESDIS
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
Our main goals:
 Working towards a SatManu for the region in Spanish version
 To make this new resource available for the local forecasters
and the regional community
Learning process
Opportunity to:

Start to develop training material in Spanish  knowledge transfer from
documented studies to forecasting tools

Be assisted by the European experts  benefit from their background

First inspection of the actual training needs of forecasters

Reinforce interaction between institutions (university) and other countries
(Brazil, Chile)

Promote the activities of CoE Argentina for the region
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
We proposed to develop 2 full CMs:
1) SALLJ associated to MCSs
2) Zonda-Puelche
Interaction with
University, Brazil
Interaction with Chile
reinforced
Why these events?
Impact: severe weather
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
SALLJ: South American Low Level Jet
Frequency of convection
(IR brightness < 218K) for
MCS-SALLJ days
MCS – 2008/21/10
NOAA-AVHRR [email protected]
Salio et al, MWR, 2007
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
Zonda (NW Argentina) – Puelche (Southern Chile)
GOES WV Channel
Buenos Aires
MCS
red: T, blue: dew point, black: surface pressure
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
Steps involved in developing this project:
Milestone 1: Nomination of teams
Milestone 2: Orientation training sessions
Milestone 3: Literature survey and CMs selection
Milestone 4: Training phase
Milestone 5: Quicklook collection
Present stage
Milestone 6: Detailed development of selected CMs
Milestone 7: Scientific Review phase
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
Quicklook example
2002/12/19
Reasons for selecting this
case:
1. MCS associated with the
SALLJ event was one of
the biggest during the
warm season of 20022003.
2. High values of
accumulated rainfall over
central-east of Argentina.
Additional information:
• Squall line.
• Initiation:
• Potencial
Convective
Instability
• CVA at mid levels.
• Discontinuity of
water vapor at low
levels.
• Convergence at the
exit region of the
LLJ.
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
This initiative have already had some spin-offs:
More interaction between different departements within the NMS
and with the University
Chance to explore new key parameters/variables (such
Termal front parameter) which better describe our regional events
It revealed gaps of information to develop other CMs – regional
scientific studies to match the SatManu contents are needed
Points out the need of skill and technical support for the
implementation of the e-learning training
 We need support to form trainers
Joint CALMet X and Eumetcal Workshop – 26-30 August 2013 – Toulouse, France
Experiences in
Managing Virtual Teams
Vesa Nietosvaara
Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH:
~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheres
Slid
Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH:
~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheres
For one minute imagine
you are managing this
project.
Slid
Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH:
~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheres
For one minute imagine
you are managing this
project.
As a Project Manager,
what worries you the
most?
Slid
Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH:
~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheres
For one minute imagine
you are a Team Member
in this project.
Slid
Virtual team Conceptual Models for SH:
~ 30 people, 5 continents, 2 hemispheres
For one minute imagine
you are a Team Member
in this project.
As a Team Member, what
is you biggest expectation
from Project Manager?
Slid
Things I worry about:
DEADLINES
MILESTONES
TASKS
MINUTES
DELIVERABLES
BUDGETS
ONLINE TECHNOLOGY
Slid
Things I should worry about:
ENGAGEMENT
INSPIRATION
PRESENCE
TRUST
ENCOURAGEMENT
MOTIVATION
Slid
DEVELOPING TRUST
(After Fisher: “The Distance
Manager”)
Communicate
openly and
frequently.
To get trust,
give trust.
Be honest.
Interact in
consistent and
predictable way.
Watch your
opening words.
Be accessible
and responsive.
Maintain
confidences.
Use language
that everyone
can understand.
Do what you
say you will do.
Slid
SUMMARY:
The Content Objectives of Virtual Team CM4SH
 To collect, create and
share resources about CMs
for Southern Hemisphere.
 To increase the operational
forecasters’ understanding
of the weather systems
with the help of CMs.
Baroclinic leaf
Comma cloud
Vortex
deformation
cloud
Buenos Aires
MCS
Slid
SUMMARY:
The Process Objectives of Virtual Team CM4SH
 To establish a virtual team
that can work together and
support each other despite
the distance, team
members trusting and
inspiring each other.
Baroclinic leaf
Comma cloud
Vortex
deformation
cloud
Buenos Aires
MCS
Slid

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